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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

USDA ACCURACY OF YEAR IN ADVANCE MEAT S&D ESTIMATES

ESTIMATED MEAT S&D FROM THE JULY S&D REPORT A YEAR IN ADVANCE OF ACTUAL

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Posted by PerspicuousRisk at Tuesday, July 21, 2009

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About Me

PerspicuousRisk: Long past middle age. Way beyond the sports car phase. Former Grain Merchant, Feed Mixer, Fertilizer, Chemical & TBA Dealer, Former CBOT Member, enjoy Risk, Enjoy the edge. Fall off occasionally but appreciate the challenge of the climb. Currently Clinging to life by the miracle of modern medicine.

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Seclusion

A HUGE DAY!!!

Country School

PRisk - 'Buckwheat"

Historic Montana Ranch

Ryan w/binoculars Tyler eating

Ryan (18) Des Moines w/Niece & Nephew

Tyler 1994

Kelly

Vancouver Digital Domain Studio Head & FX Producer

Debra HD on the Go

Ray E. Friedman

Ray Friedman's Song "My Way"

Clinton Library

Bail Out Math

Robert Gottsch

Paul Engler - Legend

LEGEND

Ken Monfort-LEGEND

Mr. Sparks -LEGEND

Mr. Harkness

Grandpa Thomas H. D. Now 69 yrs

Mr. Brunthaver

TED MAO. & WIFE in Ireland

1975-Ready to board our Queen Air

DYLAN

NEVER

LEGENDS

Do not have photos of these men. Definitely include them in the Legend category.

Robert Rufenacht
Alan Booge
Nelson Chang
Gene Cashman
Dick Frymire
Rick "The Rocket"
Gary Lobaugh

WEST BEND

ADVICE

AT

TRAINWRECK TRADING? There is ALWAYS THE car wash

Socrates

Van Gogh

SC attending Country School

Norman

TYPICAL CME SPECULATOR

CAMELS

PRISK ARCHERY TEAM TRYOUTS

FORMER CME SPECULATOR

Nick's Fishmarket after the close?

MF GLOBAL CLIENT

1992-Youngest Sons at Disney World

Other BEST FRIEND Steven L Busch Tulsa Architect

Steven passed away in Jamaica in 2007- point of photo: to prove he did know the location of the cupboard in their home. His hobby was writing songs for his protoge Ronnie Dunn for whom he wrote 26 songs including "It won't be Christmas Without you."

SC taking folks to town-Tough times, had to sell the horses

Only brother, farm house photo, now rests in Arlington National Cemetery

1979-Daughters

RMS Lusitania

1915-Family ancestors on Lusitania headed to Belgium to purchase horse stock & visit family in Sweden- Dad standing & Gunnar Arvidsson

Blog Archive

March (1)
July (1)
March (8)
December (2)
November (3)
July (1)
May (2)
November (33)
December (3)
September (16)
August (46)
July (133)
June (121)
May (125)
April (1)

My Blog List

China Economy - Economic Indicators, Analysis, and Forecasts :: Dismal Scientist

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China Financial Markets

China: Choosing More Debt, More Unemployment, Or Transfers - I have often written in this blog and elsewhere about the three policy choices Beijing faces as it tries to manage through the adjustment process. My argum...
9 years ago
China Law Blog

A Former Expat on China: Grim - 1. LaoWhy86 on YouTube Spent the last few days catching up on my China reading and viewing, mostly those articles and videos friends, clients and readers w...
5 years ago
Cumberland Advisors - Investment Money Managers

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dshort.com - Financial Life Cycle Planning

ERROR: Database error: Table './rss/feeds' is marked as crashed and should be repaired at /var/www/html/feed.pl line 1657. -
1 year ago
HAMMERSMITH MARKETING LTD

Weekly Report --- Aug 08 2026 - [image: Uploaded Image] *Hammersmith **Reports * St Remy De Provence, 13210 France Phone: +33.6.8068.4564 Email: wbacon@hammersmith....
3 days ago
HyMark High Spots

A Giant Step Backward - I took a giant step backward in my grief journey this past week two weeks and it nearly derailed me. Thanks to help and compassion from my daughters, I am...
11 years ago
Jesse's Café Américain

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - A Gathering of Vultures -
21 hours ago
LewRockwell.com Blog

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Goodbye Blogger, Hello WordPress: Mish's GlobalEconomicAnalysis has Moved to MishTalk.Com - It's been a long run, but I am leaving Google Blogger for a new home on WordPress. Please bookmark my new site: http://mishtalk.com/ Why Leave? My needs...
10 years ago
NO QUARTER

That Was CNN - It was the good, the bad and the ugly. I was invited yesterday, Saturday, to appear on CNN’s Reliable Sources with Brian Stelter. To his credit he put me...
9 years ago
Shadow Government Statistics

Flash Commentary No, 1460b - • Fundamentals Could Not Be Stronger for Gold and Silver, nor Weaker for the U.S. Dollar and Stocks, Despite Fed or Market Nonsense to the Contrary • There...
5 years ago
Sic Semper Tyrannis 2008

Finito Sic Semper Tyrannis - We are done here. turcopolier.com is working now. I have cancelled all guest author ships here. RSS is enabled on the new blog. Comments will no longer be ...
5 years ago
The Big Picture

Flock Around and Find Out: A Citizen’s Guide to Local ALPR Oversight - Guest post by Josh Frankel In April 2025, my NYS municipality rushed to sign a contract for Automated License Plate Readers (ALPRs), live view camera...
5 hours ago
the lazy farmer

Smoke in the hay field and an unedited post that rambles about nothing important - I skipped my walk this morning. I kind of feel like crap. My wife thinks it is the smoke. I think it is the sheer volume of things that must be done befo...
6 days ago
The Market Ticker

The Market Ticker - The Pattern of The Market - *Looks awfully similar to 2008.* *Rotation back and forth, with most of the gains coming in a handful of big names with big stories -- but no earnings to...
9 years ago
Welcome To Jim Sinclair's MineSet

Pork Bellies are Gone, But Stores Still Have Bacon - Great and Wonderful Tuesday Morning Folks, The tamp continues, sort of, with Gold now up 20 cents at $1,675.40 after dipping to $1,667.50 with the hig...
3 years ago

Gunnar Arvidsson Laying Drainage Tile

1920 - East Kossuth County Iowa

AGE-Rod McKuen

Age can finally say aloud what it really
feels and thinks in after dinner company
or crowd. No one blinks. If they do,
no matter. Age erases pretence;
replacing it with honesty.

-Rod McKuen

The Clodkickers

1972-World’s Largest Grain Transaction

Circulation: Private

Release: When I feel like it.

FRIENDS

Nick Warino- Good friend

BEST FRIEND R.I.P.

Dennis Blair Lewis arrived at West Point in July 1961, ready to take on the challenges of the future with the determination of his Welsh heritage. His Youngstown, OH, upbringing prepared him well for the physical and academic challenges he was to face over the next four years. As he found his pace in the demanding Plebe year, Dennis quickly recognized that Plebe football was a definite step up from his high school experience. He was determined to play Army football and stayed with the team when many others chose a less demanding path. He wanted to be a West Point football player, and once Dennis Blair Lewis put his mind to a task, it was going to happen!

Dennis' gregarious and outgoing personality allowed him to quickly bond with his classmates and teammates, His half laugh, half scream exclamations of joy were as distinct as his physical presence, that early on earned him the nickname, "The Horse." He loved to sing and was always mixed up in "unofficial" extracurricular activities that were necessarily well concealed from the tactical department. From sales of Beat Navy panties to football pools, somehow every cadet knew of them but never the tactical department. Dennis would attribute this 'management' to his Youngstown roots and regale his mends with tales of his teenage years. He would also share stories, pictures and have endless conversations about his Marie, the girl he fell in love with as a teenager, and with whom he intended to spend the rest of his life.

In his first class year, Dennis was selected as captain of the B Squad, a role he relished. For many who played against the B Squad in daily scrimmages, Dennis is remembered as one standing tall with tape and pads, challenging us to run against "his" defense and exulting whenever an offensive back was tackled for a loss. His desire to succeed was manifested in his determined play and by his satisfaction in having prepared the A Squad to be their very best every week.

Few other than graduates can appreciate the joy and relief of graduation from West Point. The 60 days after graduation are often some of the happiest moments of a graduate's life. Dennis always knew that his graduation leave was to involve marrying the love of his life, Marie. Their wedding was celebrated the weekend after graduation, 12 Jun 1965 in Youngstown, OH. Having lost his mother in a tragic car accident in 1962, his father Blair, along with his older sister Barbara and younger brother Carter, served with great pride as hosts and hostess to the wedding party and guests. Their 44 happy years of marriage again proved that whatever Dennis put his mind to was going to succeed.

For many who served in the mid 60s, duty assignments were often far afield nom what one expected. The ramp up for Vietnam added uncertainty and turmoil into what normally would have been two or three-year assignments. After Airborne and Ranger schools, Dennis traveled to Ft. Carson, CO, for his first active duty assignment. After a short period there, he received orders to Vietnam, assigned as an advisor with duty in route at the Language School in Monterey, CA. While attending Monterey his son, Dennis Jr., was born.

Dennis served in the Vinh Binh sector from December 1966 to December 1967 as a platoon leader, company executive officer, and advisor to the South Vietnamese Army. He received the Bronze Star, Combat Infantryman Badge, Vietnamese Cross of Gallantry, and numerous other decorations. Upon returning from Vietnam with the rank of captain, Dennis was stationed at the Signal Officers Advanced Course at Ft. Monmouth, NJ, where his daughter Eileen was born; and next at Iowa State University in Ames, where he was an assistant professor of Military Science.

In 1970, Dennis determined that he wanted to serve his family and nation as a businessman rather than in the military.

Dennis resigned his commission and returned to Warren, OH, with Marie to raise their family. He applied that same drive and determination that had served him well as a cadet and Army officer to his fledgling business. Dennis started Lewis Construction in 1970, working from the basement of their first home. Along with his brother Carter and son Dennis, Jr., Dennis grew Lewis Construction into a multi-faceted company serving the insurance restoration industry, commercial and residential real estate management, and development. For 39 years Dennis nurtured the work he loved, always remaining optimistic for the next business venture. The great majority of these ventures involved close associations with classmates, family and friends.

Dennis' greatest gift was his personal time, and this he willingly gave to those who needed him most. His compassion for helping those in need was exemplified by his extraordinary care for our classmate, Tim Vogel. Dennis became his guardian and care-giver as Tim suffered through a debilitating, life-ending disease. Dennis' family, including his elders, always sought his counsel on their most pressing life issues. He willingly gave his time and financial support to many community activities, leaving a legacy of service that firmly established him as a pillar of his community. With Marie always at his side, they raised a close-knit, loving family, sharing their time and affection with Dennis, Jr. and Eileen.

Beyond family and friends, Dennis' driving passion was Army football. He was a perennial season-ticket holder and looked forward to attending games, both home and away. Dennis' intense loyalty to Army football, his ubiquitous attendance at key events with coaches and players, and his support of the "A" Club were recognized by his being awarded an Army "A," one of his happiest and most cherished moments. He enjoyed discussing the finer points of football-and life-with his lifelong Band of Brothers. These fellow teammates, classmates and lifelong friends are most saddened by his departure but will forever cherish and honor his memory.

Well done, Horse; you played and won! You are A WEST POINT FOOTBALL PLAYER.

-Your brothers of '65

Perspicuous Risk

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Louis Tiberio

AT

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